Xpel Valuation

XPEL Stock  USD 51.20  1.04  2.07%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Xpel Inc maintains a prevalent Real Value of $55.83 per share. The last-minute price of the company is $51.2. Our model calculates the value of Xpel Inc from examining the company fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.45 B, return on asset of 0.11, and Profit Margin of 0.10 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Xpel's valuation include:
Price Book
5.5218
Enterprise Value
1.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
20.0703
Price Sales
3.071
Trailing PE
30.1176
Undervalued
Today
51.20
Please note that Xpel's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Xpel Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Xpel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Xpel stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Xpel Inc. Since Xpel is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Xpel Stock. However, Xpel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  51.2 Real  55.83 Target  52.0 Hype  51.81 Naive  51.0
The intrinsic value of Xpel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Xpel's stock price.
55.83
Real Value
57.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Xpel Inc helps investors to forecast how Xpel stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Xpel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Xpel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.540.590.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.6751.8153.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
48.8551.0053.14
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
47.3252.0057.72
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Xpel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Xpel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Xpel's closest peers.

Xpel Cash

26.67 Million

Xpel Revenue by Product

Xpel Total Value Analysis

Xpel Inc is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 1.45 B with market capitalization of 1.42 B, debt of 21.08 M, and cash on hands of 9.32 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Xpel fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.45 B
1.42 B
21.08 M
9.32 M

Xpel Investor Information

About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xpel Inc is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities57.7 M55 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Xpel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Xpel has an asset utilization ratio of 147.2 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.47 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Xpel Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Xpel Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Xpel's profitability measurements, Xpel's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Xpel's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2007-03-31
Previous Quarter
16.3 M
Current Value
12.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
4.9 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Xpel's Gross Profit is quite stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.13 this year, although the value of Operating Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.13.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.460.49
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.220.23
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
For Xpel profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Xpel Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Xpel utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Xpel's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Xpel over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Xpel Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Xpel is estimated to be 0.5925 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.54 to a high of 0.6875. Xpel's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.7. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Xpel Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Xpel is projected to generate 0.5925 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Xpel earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Xpel EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Xpel's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Xpel, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Xpel Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Xpel's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Xpel is estimated to be 0.5925 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.54 to a high of 0.6875. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Xpel Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.54
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.5925
0.69
Highest

Xpel Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Xpel's value are higher than the current market price of the Xpel stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Xpel is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Xpel's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
369.04%
0.0
0.5925
1.7

Xpel Ownership Allocation

Xpel Inc retains a total of 27.68 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Xpel outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutions are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Xpel Inc to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, other corporate entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Xpel Inc. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Xpel Inc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company shows, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Xpel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 420.4 M. Net Income was 45.49 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 193.54 M.

About Xpel Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xpel Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Xpel Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Xpel's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Xpel's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Xpel. We calculate exposure to Xpel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Xpel's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit204 M214.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.49  0.46 

Xpel Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Xpel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.132

Xpel Current Valuation Indicators

Xpel's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Xpel's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Xpel, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Xpel's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Xpel's worth.
When determining whether Xpel Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xpel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xpel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xpel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xpel Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xpel. Anticipated expansion of Xpel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xpel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Earnings Share
1.7
Revenue Per Share
16.683
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.111
Return On Assets
0.1126
Investors evaluate Xpel Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xpel's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xpel's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xpel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xpel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xpel's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.